New Delhi: As rainfall deficit for the four-month monsoon season touches 16%, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecast that the situation is likely to improve over the next week following active monsoon conditions across most parts of the country.

In its forecast, the weather department said a fresh low pressure area is expected to form over the north-west Bay of Bengal around 31. This would strengthen the monsoon current and bring increased rainfall activity over Central India and some parts of adjoining south peninsular states during next 3-4 days.

Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha, ghat areas of Madhya Maharashtra, Konkan, Gujarat, and Rajasthan are likely to witness fairly widespread rains with heavy rains in isolated areas during the three days. A red alert has been issued for Gujarat for the next two days and for East Madhya Pradesh on July 31 on account of likely heavy rains.

While Odisha is reeling under deficient rains to the tune of 28%, the deficit in West Bengal has reached 40%. As many as 20 sub-divisions across India have recorded deficiency of up to 59% this season, which include Jharkand, Chhattisgarh and large parts of south India, especially Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Telangana.

Rainfall activity improved over parts of northern India, including Delhi where moderate rains brought down average temperatures and boosted water level in reservoirs.

According to the Central Water Commission (CWC), the total live storage available in six reservoirs in Punjab, Uttrakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Rajasthan has increased to 48% of the total live storage capacity, which is higher than storage during corresponding period last year (25%) and that of last ten years (40%). The rainfall activity is now expected to decrease over northern plains, said IMD.

However, water level in reservoirs in other parts of the country remains lower than corresponding period last year. Of the 100 CWC monitored reservoirs, as many as 80 reservoirs have storage less than normal levels, and lesser than corresponding period last year.

IMD has forecast normal rainfall over most parts of the country during the next week, except for Jammu and Kashmir, Kerala, South Interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu where it is very likely to be below normal.


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