Can Aam Aadmi Party retain Delhi?
Data suggests that satisfaction with AAP’s performance and Arvind Kejriwal’s popularity could return the party to power—if elections remain localized
For weeks now, Delhi has been centre-stage for the protests against the Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA). And ahead of the Delhi assembly elections, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is hoping the issue of nationalism will help them in coming to power in Delhi. But despite the party’s massive win on all seven Lok Sabha seats in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, it is the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) that starts as the clear frontrunner in the assembly elections. Data suggests that high levels of satisfaction with the incumbent state government and chief minister Arvind Kejriwal's own popularity have bolstered AAP's re-election prospects in Delhi. Further, the lack of state-level leadership within the BJP and the salience of local issues seem to have kept it on the backfoot.