New Delhi: A cyclone is fast developing on the south-east Arabian Sea along the western coast, said the India Meteorological Department (IMD), on Monday, while predicting heavy to very heavy rains for Kerala and coastal Karnataka over the next three days.

According to the government’s weather department, the low-pressure system formed over the south-east Arabian Sea and adjoining the Lakshadweep area has intensified into a depression early morning on Monday. It now lays centered 760 km south-southwest of Mumbai and 930 km south-southwest of Veraval in Gujarat.

“It is very likely to intensify further into a deep depression by evening and into a cyclonic storm during the subsequent 24 hours and into a Severe Cyclonic Storm on 12 June, after which it is expected to move north-northwestwards," stated IMD in its latest update issued on Monday afternoon.

According to meteorologists, the northwesterly movement of the deep depression will strengthen the western arm of the monsoon current, bringing heavy rains in coastal Karnataka during the next three days. The department has already sounded a warning to the coastal areas on the western coast and advised fishermen to return to the coast.

“Fishermen are advised not to venture into the southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area along & off Kerala and Karnataka coasts on 10-11 June, east-central Arabian Sea along and off Maharashtra coast on 11 and 12 June and over northeast Arabian Sea and along and off Gujarat coast on 12 and 13 June," as per IMD.

According to IMD, the cyclone is very likely to gain intensity around 13-14 June and cause an adverse impact in terms of wind and rainfall over Saurashtra and Kutch. Gale winds speed reaching 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph are likely to prevail over the north Arabian Sea, south Gujarat and Maharashtra coast during the period.

Meanwhile, the southwest monsoon which made its onset over Kerala on 8 June is also progressing into remaining parts of the south Arabian Sea and Lakshadweep area, most parts of Kerala and Tamil Nadu. On the eastern front, it is advancing into Mizoram and Manipur.

“The northern limit of the monsoon is well-defined and strong. With support from the south-westerly winds, it will gain pace. Coastal Karnataka could witness heavy rains during the next three days, followed by Maharashtra, where the monsoon could arrive in the next few days and Gujarat from 12 June onwards," said Mahesh Palawat, Chief Meteorologist, Skymet.

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