2 min read.Updated: 13 Jan 2022, 10:01 PM ISTLivemint
Prior to this, Delhi's Safdarjung Hospital had decided to curtail elective surgeries
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In view of the surging Covid-19 cases, routine/elective surgeries in Lok Nayak Jai Prakash Narayan Hospital and Guru Teg Bahadur Hospital has been suspended till further orders, said the Delhi government on Thursday.
Prior to this, Safdarjung Hospital had decided to curtail elective surgeries as Delhi's positivity rate surged to 25%.
This comes as experts said during the day that one cannot conclude the peak of the ongoing wave of the pandemic is over in Delhi solely on the basis of hospital admission data.
Hospitalisation due to the virus has remained relatively low in the city, and health minister Satyendar Jain has said that the plateauing of hospital admissions indicates that the ongoing wave has peaked and cases may go down soon.
However, according to noted epidemiologist Dr Chandrakant Lahariya it cannot be predicted that the city is past the peak Covid-19 fresh cases.
The reason is that people get admitted to the hospital only some days after they have developed the disease, Lahariya said. "So, there is a lag of six to seven days."
"The number of daily cases and the positivity rate should be used to determine the peak. Hospitalisation depends on the criteria adopted for admission (in a particular region). Of course, hospitalisation is an important parameter for public health planning purposes, but not for describing a peak," he added.
Director of the National Institute for Implementation Research on Non-Communicable Diseases, Jodhpur, Dr Arun Sharma said: "Epidemiologically, the peak of a wave is determined with the help of the rate of transmission, the number of infected people and the uninfected susceptible population. It can be plotted on a graph but the ground reality is always different from epidemiological modelling."