NEW DELHI :
Delhi’s peak electricity demand this winter is expected to touch an all-time high of 4,700 megawatt (MW).
“Delhi’s peak power demand this winter can go up to 4700 MW. Last year, it had peaked at 4472MW," BSES said in a statement.
This despite the India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasting a warm winter this year except for the northern most part of the country.
Electricity is supplied to Delhi consumers by Anil Ambani-controlled BSES Rajdhani Power Ltd (BRPL), BSES Yamuna Power Ltd (BYPL), Tata Power Delhi Distribution Ltd (TPDDL), Military Engineering Services (for Delhi Cantonment) and the New Delhi Municipal Council.
The national capital’s electricity demand had touched an all-time high of 7,409 MW in July this year, while India’s electricity demand touched an all-time record high of 176.724 gigawatts (GW) on 26 April.
“The peak winter power demand in BRPL and BYPL areas had reached 1926 MW and 1091 MW respectively during last winter. This year, it is expected to reach 2020 MW and 1165 MW for BRPL and BYPL respectively," the BSES statement added.
This coincides with concern over domestic electricity generation, tracked by many to gauge the momentum in the economy. India’s electricity generation fell the most in more than five years in October. The government sees the 12.9% drop in October power generation as an aberration, attributing it to a combination of high base, an extended monsoon and economic slowdown.
“Accurate demand (load) forecasting is critical for reliable power supply. It is done on various parameters like (i) Day-ahead in 96 time-slots, (ii) Intra-day basis and (iii) Medium term (from a fortnight to one year). Among other aspects, weather parameters like Temperature, Rainfall, Cloud Coverage, Wind Speed, Wind Direction and Humidity play an important role in accurate demand forecast. Even holidays and random disturbances have an impact on the power demand," the statement said.
Meanwhile, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) government is changing the way in which coal allocations are made for generating electricity, thereby helping the spot power market. Given the situation of stressed power projects that don’t have power purchase agreements (PPAs) and hence can’t secure the critical fuel for generating electricity in the absence of one, the power ministry has issued the methodology for allocation of coal for sale of power through short term and Day Ahead Market (DAM) in power exchange.