One of the key components of the government’s Atma Nirbhar Bharat stimulus package to boost the economy, announced in mid-May, was a set of relief measures for micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSME). The move was ostensibly aimed at small businesses that were hit hardest by the pandemic-induced lockdown.
However, given that this relief was accompanied by definitional changes that favoured larger firms, the benefits of the Atma Nirbhar package are unlikely to flow to the large number of small businesses that make up the bulk of the MSME universe, our analysis suggests.
The definitional changes by the government included the abolition of the distinctions between manufacturing and services firms, changes in the upper limit for investment in plant and machinery to qualify as an MSME, and the introduction of turnover as an additional criterion.
To understand how the benefit of the redefinition could work, we analysed the CMIE Prowess firm-level database. Of about 50,000 companies with balance-sheet details as of fiscal year 2016, there were 20,440 companies for which data on investment and sales were available.
Our analysis shows that the new definitions have put several erstwhile ‘large’ firms within the MSME bracket even while excluding some small firms from the same universe.
The total number of firms in the MSME universe goes up by 30% to 14,133 with the revised definitions. The bulk of the new entrants are in the largest sub-segment (medium enterprises), and a small fraction in the micro segment. The small segment actually saw 496 firms (nearly 9% firms) excluded based on the new definition.
The average value of sales of the new entrants into the MSME universe, based on the revised definitions was Rs. 83.4 crores in fiscal 2016, and their investments averaged Rs. 22.6 crore for the same period.
It is instructive to compare the size of the potential beneficiaries with the registered MSME sector. On average, the net sales of potential beneficiaries is 191 times the gross output of a registered MSME, as per the last official MSME census conducted in 2006-07. Though the two figures are not for the same year and hence, not strictly comparable, the magnitude of the difference between them is so large that they seem to belong to entirely different worlds.
When one considers the larger MSME universe, which includes unregistered and informal small businesses, the gap between the beneficiaries of the Atma Nirbhar package and the average small business appears even wider. The MSME ministry annual report says the MSME sector includes the entire non-agricultural informal sector consisting of 63.4 million enterprises, contributing 29 per cent of GDP in 2015-16. However, the proportion of units registered with the official agencies – eligibility for government assistance – form a miniscule fraction of the total. As per the last MSME census of 2006-07, there were 1.6 million registered enterprises, employing on average 6 workers, and producing gross value of output worth Rs. 46 lakhs per enterprise.
The new definitions thus cater to only a miniscule minority of the broader MSME universe in the country. It is worth noting that even under the earlier norms and credit relief programs, only a small creamy layer of MSMEs garnered most of the benefits, given the wide disparities within the registered MSME sector.
95 percent of the registered MSMEs are micro units, and 90 percent proprietary concerns. Medium-sized enterprises constitute just 0.2 percent of the number of units but nearly half of them are corporate entities, and hence typically have much better access to credit subventions and other government aid.
On average, a medium-sized enterprise employs 27 times more workers, has 73 times more fixed assets (at market value), and produces 62 times more gross output than the average registered MSME firm.
The new definitions will only add to the pre-existing disparities, and channel even more funds away from genuinely small firms. In contrast, a sizeable number of medium-sized corporations stand to gain from the new definitions.
The government claims that the Atma Nirbhar stimulus package is meant to help small firms. Our analysis suggests that the package is in effect a corporate subsidy that will do very little for the really small firms.
R. Nagaraj and Vikash Vaibhav are respectively, former professor, and PhD student, at the Mumbai-based Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research (IGIDR).
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