Home / News / World /  This team has highest probability of winning FIFA World Cup 2022, data scientists predict

Brazil have the maximum probability of winning the FIFA World Cup 2022, according to Serasa Experian's DataLab. Using machine learning techniques, the data scientists at DataLab projected the World Cup qualification and tournament winners. As per the results, the South American team have a 20.9% chance of winning the FIFA World Cup in 2022 and a 53.4% chance of making it to the semifinals.

The likelihood of the nations that are most likely to win the 2022 Olympics is depicted in the graph below.

Research by Serasa Experian's DataLab shows Brazil are most likely to win FIFA World Cup 2022.
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Research by Serasa Experian's DataLab shows Brazil are most likely to win FIFA World Cup 2022.

Based on information from the previous three football World Cup cycles, a machine learning model was developed. DataLab set up a machine learning system that forecasts the likelihood of the outcome of each match between two countries using algorithms that are similar to those used by streaming services to recommend shows to users.

Also Read: This team is favourite to win FIFA World Cup 2022, as per betting odds

Here are the teams that are most likely to qualify for the knockout stages. Brazil have the highest probability at 97.48% while Argentina have a 96.1% probability. The research, which was conducted before the FIFA World Cup 2022 began, would definitely cheer up the fans of these Latin American teams. 

Lionel Messi fans should be especially delighted after the team’s shocking loss to Saudi Arabia. They have been looking for reassurance for their favourite team’s chance of progression.

Also Read: Are Argentina out of FIFA World Cup 2022?

The research also says that France have a 93.4% probability of going to the knockout stages while Spain have an 89.6% probability. Germany have a 69.6% probability.

If betting odds are to be trusted, there is a clear winner for the FIFA World Cup 2022. As per a number of British gambling companies, Brazil are the undisputed champions, with France coming in second place and having a chance to win. According to the betting odds on the gaming websites, other teams that are top candidates include England, Argentina, and Spain.


Sounak Mukhopadhyay

Sounak Mukhopadhyay, who also goes by the name Sounak Mukherjee, has been producing digital news since 2012. He's worked for the International Business Times, The Inquisitr, and Moneycontrol in the past. He's also contributed to Free Press Journal and TheRichest with feature articles. He covers news for a wide range of subjects including business, finance, economy, politics and social media. Before working with digital news publications, he worked as a freelance content writer.
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