Pro-incumbency gets votes in Indian democracy
Big BJP victories suggest ‘anti-incumbency’ is old hat and we must analyse why successive elections are being won so often
The re-election of Yogi Adityanath as the Chief Minister of Uttar Pradesh and the “surprise" victory of the BJP in Uttarakhand, along with ruling parties doing unexpectedly well in Goa and Manipur compels us to conjure a mythical fable to describe reality. Let’s say there is a country that once was stricken by an infectious ailment every few years. Pundits were right to discuss and analyse this phenomenon. Then came a time when a few regions of the country stopped showing the same “once every few years" syndrome. Some scholars noticed this; but media pundits either ignored it or dismissed as a fluke. As time passed, more and more regions of the country started providing clear evidence that the “once every few years" phenomenon was waning. Media pundits kept discussing the old syndrome even as the data and statistics revealed the contrary to be the fact. Finally, a time came when even the most obdurate pundits were compelled to pay attention to this change.
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