IPL 2026 playoff scenarios: How a CSK vs SRH outcome would shape qualification chances of Punjab Kings, KKR, DC & RR?

A lot in the IPL 2026 Points Table will depend on the outcome of the CSK vs SRH clash at the M Chidambaram Stadium. While a loss for CSK will prove fatal to their hopes of qualifying for the playoffs, a Sunrisers Hyderabad win will put them in the safe zone. RCB are the only team to have qualified.

Koushik Paul
Updated18 May 2026, 06:03 PM IST
CSK's Urvil Patel inspects the pitch during a practice session.
CSK's Urvil Patel inspects the pitch during a practice session.(PTI)

The playoffs race in the ongoing Indian Premier League (IPL) have heated up as the 19th edition of the cash-rich tournament reaches its final week in the group stage. With Royal Challengers Bengaluru (RCB) already qualified and Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants (LSG) eliminated, as many as six teams are in the race for playoffs.

A lot will depend on the outcome of the match between Chennai Super Kings (CSK) and Sunrisers Hyderabad at the MA Chidambaram Stadium in Chepauk on Monday. Gujarat Titans are already in the safe zone with 16 points, although they have not officially qualified.

Also Read | Is MS Dhoni playing today in CSK vs SRH in IPL 2026?

A win for Sunrisers Hyderabad will put the Pat Cummins-led side in the safe one like Gujarat Titans with 16 points and a match left. With 12 points from 12 games, CSK and Rajasthan Royals can also qualify for the playoffs with wins in their respective remaining two games.

In that case, the net run-rate (NRR) will come into play. However, a loss for CSK at their own backyard could prove fatal.

What will happen if CSK beat SRH?

Punjab KingsRajasthan RoyalsKolkata Knight RidersDelhi Capitals
If CSK manage a win over Sunrisers Hyderabad, it would take Ruturaj Gaikwad's side to 14 points from 13 games an enter the top four. In that case, Punjab Kings (on 13 points) lose hold of the top four and drop to fifth in the points table. With Punjab Kings only having a game left, the Shreyas Iyer-led side will have win their final league-stage game by a big margin to keep the net run rate on their side and also hope other results go their way.A win for CSK against Sunrisers Hyderabad will further dramatise the qualification scenario. If they win, CSK will temporarily go over Rajasthan Royals (12 points) with 14 points and will have a game left. With Rajasthan Royals having two games left, they can easily displace CSK, provided Riyan Parag's men win both. But if CSK win their final game too, they it will be  NRR battle between Rajasthan Royals and Chennai Super Kings. A win for CSK against Sunrisers Hyderabad will certainly help KKR. The maximum KKR can reach is 15 points by winning their final two games. If Sunrisers Hyderabad lose against CSK, it will keep them on 14 points with a game left. KKR would also want CSK and Sunrisers Hyderabad lose their respective final games to sneak into top four.Delhi Capitals' chances are hanging by a thread. With 12 points and just a game left against KKR, the maximum they could reach is 14 points. A CSK win against Sunrisers Hyderabad will put them on 14 points, making Delhi Capitals' pathway nearly impossible due to their negative NRR.

What will happen if SRH beat CSK?

A loss for CSK will leave them in a pretty delicate position. In that case they need to win their last game against Gujarat Titans and also hope other results go their way.

Kolkata Knight RidersDelhi CapitalsPunjab KingsRajasthan Royals
The maximum that KKR would reach is 15 points by winning their last two games at home. If Sunrisers Hyderabad beat CSK, then KKR would hope Punjab Kings lose their final game to LSG. But a Punjab Kings win would take the matter to NRR for KKR. Also, KKR would want Rajasthan Royals to lose at least one of their last two games.If Sunrisers Hyderabad beat CSK, there are a certain results that need to go their way. They are 1) Delhi Capitals need to win big against KKR, 2) Punjab Kings need to lose against LSG, and 3) Rajasthan Royals need to lose both their remaining games. In such a scenario, Delhi Capitals will qualify with 14 points.If Sunrisers Hyderabad beat CSK, Punjab Kings will have to beat already-eliminated Lucknow Super Giants by a big margin to get to 15 points and have a better NRR. In that case, Rajasthan Royals can surpass Punjab Kings' final points tally provided Riyan Parag's men win both their remaining games. KKR can also match Punjab Kings on 15 points if the three-time champions win their remaining both matches.If Sunrisers Hyderabad beat CSK, then Pat Cummins' side will reach 16 points with a game left. That means, Rajasthan Royals will need to win their remaining two games against already-eliminated Lucknow Super Giants and Mumbai Indians in their final two games. Sunrisers Hyderabad will have the opportunity to reach 18 points, if they win their last.
Also Read | Updated list of Orange cap and purple cap in IPL 2026 after LSG vs CSK match

How can CSK qualify for IPL 2026 playoffs?

  • Scenario 1: Win two out of two (Maximum 16 points)
  1. RCB beat Punjab Kings
  2. Punjab Kings and Rajasthan Royals win one of the respective remaining games
  • Scenario 2: Win one out of two (Maximum 14 points)
  1. Punjab Kings and Rajasthan Royals go winless in their remaining games.
  2. Kolkata Knight Riders beat Delhi Capitals and lose against Mumbai Indians

Updated IPL 2026 Points table after DC vs RR

PosTeamMatchesWinLossNRPointsNRR
1Royal Challengers Bengaluru (Q)1394018+1.065
2Gujarat Titans1385016+0.400
3Sunrisers Hyderabad1275014+0.331
4Punjab Kings1366113+0.227
5Rajasthan Royals1266012+0.027
6Chennai Super Kings1266012+0.027
7Delhi Capitals1367012-0.871
8Kolkata Knight Riders1256111-0.038
9Mumbai Indians (E)124808-0.504
10Lucknow Super Giants (E)124808-0.701

Catch the live updates from IPL 2026 with the complete IPL 2026 Schedule and the IPL 2026 Points Table. Also, know who are currently leading the charts in IPL 2026 Orange Cap and IPL 2026 Purple Cap.

About the Author

Koushik lives and breathes sports. After transitioning from his own aspirations of becoming a professional athlete, he successfully channeled that lifelong passion into a prolific career, documenting the action both from the sidelines and the editorial desk. With over eight years of industry experience, Koushik joined LiveMint as a Deputy Chief Content Producer in 2024, following impactful stints at Outlook India, India.com, Sportskeeda, Women’s CricZone, and OrissaPOST. A 2017 Journalism and Mass Communication graduate from Maharaja Manindra Chandra College, Kolkata, Koushik has reported on high-profile events including the FIFA U17 World Cup 2017, Ranji Trophy, FIH Pro League, FIH World League finals, the Indian Premier League, and Lionel Messi’s historic visit to Kolkata in 2025. <br><br> While he possesses a versatile command over all sports, he finds his niche in cricket, specializing in breaking news, long-form interviews, global sporting updates, and high-energy live blogs. Koushik’s professional perspective was further sharpened through the 2020 AIPS Young Reporters Programme, where he gained invaluable insights from renowned international journalists, including Keir Radnedge and Riccardo Romani from the United Kingdom, and Martin Mazur from Argentina. Currently based between Kolkata and Delhi, Koushik remains at the forefront of the breaking developments that shape the public sporting discourse. When he isn't tracking scores or deconstructing plays, he can be found exploring new landscapes on his travels or channeling his creative energy into the kitchen. <br><br> If you have a compelling story to share or know an individual who deserves the spotlight, please reach out via email at <a href="koushik.paul@htdigital.in">koushik.paul@htdigital.in</a>.

Get Latest real-time updates

Stay updated with all the latest news and insights on Cricket, Football, and Tennis at Livemint Sports. Catch the live action of theT20 World Cup 2026 with the complete T20 World Cup 2026 Schedule, and the T20 World Cup 2026 Points Table. Also, know who are currently leading the charts for Most Runs in T20 World Cup 2026 and Most Wickets in T20 World Cup 2026.

HomeSportsCricket NewsIPL 2026 playoff scenarios: How a CSK vs SRH outcome would shape qualification chances of Punjab Kings, KKR, DC & RR?
More