WTC Final scenarios: What happens to India’s chances if IND vs AUS 3rd Test in Brisbane is washed out?
Only 13.2 overs were bowled before rain gods took over at The Gabba in Brisbane on the opening day of the third Test between India and Australia.
After only 13.2 overs were bowled before the rain gods took over at The Gabba in Brisbane on the opening day of the third Test between India and Australia, day three also saw little play and more rain as only 33 overs were possible before bad light stopped play. Starting the day on 405/7, the Australians could add only 40 runs to be all out for 445 in the first innings.
Heavy rains grabbed the headlines for most part of the day around Brisbane as India laboured their way to 51/4 before play was officially called off after the sixth interruption. India are stil 394 runs behind and need to reach 246 to avoid follow-on.
While most of the opening day was washed out, the weather forecast for the next couple of days also predicts rain in Brisbane. According to AccuWeather.com, there 68% and 55% chances of rains are expected on the fourth and fifth days respectively.
With the World Test championship (WTC) final spot at stake, a washout will dent both India and Australia's chances of making it to the summit clash next year at the Lord's.
Based on the WTC points system, a team gets 12 points for a win while four points are awarded for a draw. In case of a tie, six points are awarded to both teams. Notably, if a Test match is washed out, it is considered as no result, which is similar to a draw.
What happens if IND vs AUS 3rd Test is washed out?
In case of a washout, both India and Australia will get four points each. Then India's point swells up to 110 while Australia will reach 106. despite the surge in points, it will reduce India's PCT to 55.88 while Australia's PCT will read at 58.89. However, both India and Australia will retain their third and second positions respectively in the standings.
What are India's chances?
- To qualify for the third consecutive WTC final, India need one draw and two wins in their remaining three games (including the Brisbane Test). If that happens, India will reach 60.53 PCT, thus assuring Rohit Sharma's men a at least a second place behind table-toppers South Africa. Even if Australia win their final two games against Sri Lanka, they will have to be satisfied with a 57.02 PCT and a third position.
- A 3-2 win for India will take them to a PCT of 58.77. Even, if Australia manage to beat Sri Lanka 1-0 after that, Pat Cummins' men will finish at third.
- A 2-3 loss for India will dash all hopes for the visitors as Australia, Sri Lanka and South Africa will finish ahead of them. For India to qualify with a 2-3 scoreline against Australia, South Africa need to lose both Tests against Pakistan and also hope the Aussies draw at least one match in Sri Lanka.
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First Published:14 Dec 2024, 10:23 AM IST
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