Recession
AI is sneaking up on the Fed. Will Warsh be ready?
The presumptive next Fed chair is an AI booster. He needs to be prepared for its downsides, too.
3 min read11 Feb 2026Recessions have become ultra-rare. That is storing up trouble
Continuous growth can make economies fat and slow
8 min read20 Jan 2026A US-India trade deal could lift markets, says Stephen Dover of Franklin Templeton
Franklin Templeton Institute's Stephen Dover on US recession fears, diversification beyond AI and why India stands out among emerging markets.
8 min read16 Dec 2025Why everyone got Trump’s tariffs wrong
The president predicted a manufacturing renaissance. Economists forecast recession and runaway inflation. None of it has come to pass.
7 min read15 Dec 2025US likely to fall into recession? Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi flags 22 states with persistent economic weakness
The US economy faces a potential contraction, with 22 states and DC already experiencing recession, according to Moody Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi. California and New York's stability is crucial, while weak agricultural and manufacturing sectors contribute to the downturn.
2 min read6 Oct 2025Is US headed for recession? Here’s what Moody’s chief economist Mark Zandi says
Moody’s economist Mark Zandi stated that the US economy can avoid recession if the wealthy continue spending. Recent data shows that the top 10 per cent of earners accounted for 49.2 per cent of expenditures, the highest since 1989.
1 min read19 Sep 2025The Fed rolls back recession risk
The central bank’s quarter-point rate cut has eliminated the U.S. economy’s worst-case scenarios.
4 min read18 Sep 2025Powell’s last stand: Balancing a tricky economy and intense political pressure
The Fed chair is making a risky gambit, cutting rates even though the economy isn’t flashing red. He’s been here twice before.
5 min read18 Sep 2025US ‘flagging job market’ relies on THESE sectors, says Moody's Mark Zandi: ‘This happens when economy is in recession’
Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, emphasises the US job market's dependence on healthcare and hospitality sectors, which contributed six lakh new jobs this year. Without these sectors, job growth would stagnate, indicating recessionary conditions.
2 min read8 Sep 2025How America’s economy is dodging disaster
It is astonishingly dynamic, even under the weight of tariffs
4 min read7 Jul 2025